Wednesday, May 8, 2013

Bloomberg: Najib win masks biggest test after Chinese Malaysian exodus by Daniel Ten Kate & Shamim Adam,


Najib win masks biggest test after Chinese M'sian exodus
Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak’s election win without the bulk of ethnic Chinese voters is set to pose the biggest test yet for the pro-Malay affirmative action policies instituted by his father more than three decades ago.

The May 5 ballot left Najib’s Umno with 109 parliamentary seats, almost enough to govern without any of its 12 allies in the BN coalition, Election Commission data showed. At the same time, the alliance as a whole took just 47 percent of the popular vote, the lowest since 1969, when Sino-Malay race riots flared.

With opposition chief Anwar Ibrahim - ally of the mainly ethnic-Chinese DAP that expanded its seats - planning protests tonight over electoral fraud concerns, Najib, 59, is calling for national reconciliation. To get that, he may need to temper the same preferential-contract and job rules that helped secure his victory among rural Malays.

"Umno is looking strong, but it’s a false dawn," said Edmund Terence Gomez, a Universiti Malaya professor who edited a book on the race-based programmes. 

"They know they need structural changes, and if they don’t do it they will face serious consequences in the next election."

NONEGomez said the biggest change needed is the removal of policies that restrict certain government contracts to Malays and indigenous groups together known as bumiputera, or "sons of the soil". They make up about 60 percent of Malaysia’s 29 million people. 

Abdul Razak Hussein, Najib’s father and second prime minister, initiated the preferences in the wake of the 1969 riots that killed hundreds.

Anwar (right) plans to proceed with tonight’s rally even as police threatened to arrest anyone who attends, Rafizi Ramli, an official with his PKR, said by phone today. 

Anwar's gathering is illegal because he didn't apply for a police permit, state-run Bernama news service reported yesterday, citing inspector-general of police Ismail Omar. He didn’t immediately respond to calls to his mobile phone.

Najib’s coalition won 133 seats, topping the 89 seats won by Anwar’s three-party opposition, which captured 51 percent of the popular balloting. Chinese parties in the government saw their seat total cut by more than half, leaving Najib’s Malay- based party with 82 percent of BN’s seats, up from less than half in the 1990s.

'Big mistake'

"We have to go to the center, not to the right," said Saifuddin Abdullah, an unsuccessful Umno candidate who attributed his loss to a drop in support in urban areas with more Chinese voters.

NONEAccording to Saifuddin (right), it would be a "big mistake" for Umno to take heart from the win stemming from its appeal to Malays. 

“The BN alliance should be transformed into a political party that people can join directly, without having first to choose one of its members, such as Umno,” he added.

Besides Umno, the election night’s other success story was the DAP, which saw its take jump by a third, to 38 seats. Najib said in a press conference that evening that his coalition had lost in one state because of a "Chinese tsunami". 

Yet with ethnic Chinese only accounting for about a quarter of the population, the national results show a broader wave turning against the governing coalition in an election that had a record turnout of 85 percent.

"The Chinese tsunami is all nonsense - it’s an urban middle-class tsunami," said Gomez, who has been writing about Malaysian politics and business for more than two decades.

About 71 percent of Malaysians lived in urban areas in 2010, up from 62 percent a decade earlier, according to the most recent government statistics.

Anwar, 65, a former deputy prime minister and Umno member before he was fired in 1998, saw his alliance win a majority of the popular vote running on a platform criticizing affirmative action programs for feeding corruption.

Government-linked companies climbed after the election saw Najib returned to office, propelling a 4.8 percent jump in the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index the past two days. The benchmark fell 0.1 percent as of 12.18pm local time.

forbes conference nazir razak 140911CIMB Group Holdings Bhd, a lender headed by the prime minister’s brother, Nazir Abdul Razak (right), gained 14 percent since the election as of yesterday’s close. Tenaga Nasional Bhd, the country’s biggest power producer, advanced 7.6 percent. The ringgit has risen 1.8 percent against the dollar in the two days after the vote.

“Taking on corruption is a priority,” Stanley Thai, the ethnic-Chinese owner of medical glove-maker Supermax Corp, told Bloomberg Television after the election. Thai, who has seen Supermax shares fall 3.4 percent since he said in an interview published April 26 that he’d vote for the opposition, called this week for Najib to assure transparency in awarding contracts. 

“(Otherwise,) brain drain will continue,” he said.

Even so, the prime minister is unlikely to move against the majority of his party and revamp the affirmative-action policies, predicted Chua Hak Bin, an economist at Bank of America Corp. Chua, a Malaysian who has lived and worked in Singapore since the Asian financial crisis in 1998, returned to cast his ballot in the election.

“There may be some compromises such as more Chinese schools and affordable housing not just for bumiputera, but for all races and the low-income,” Chua said.

National reconciliation


Najib said after the election that Umno would make changes at the right time, without elaborating. He called for “national reconciliation” while blaming the opposition for making race an issue, and said he’d implement moderate policies.

“BN has a lot of resilience as a political party, despite the fact that we have been in existence for 55 years,” Najib told reporters on May 6, after his coalition won for the 13th straight time. 

“Not many political parties can claim that kind of record.”

The MCA - the main party representing ethnic Chinese in the government - said it wouldn’t take up any cabinet posts after its poor election showing.

“Voting the Chinese out of the state and federal government won’t help solve dissatisfaction,” party president Chua Soi Lek said in a statement dated May 6. 

He added that Najib would “continue to look after the interest of the Chinese.”

Three MCA central committee members in a statement today have urged Chua to resign immediately because of “his failure to address the political sentiments of the Chinese community”.

lim kit siang pc 070513 03The opposition rejected the government’s analysis of the election outcome and said BN’s reduced majority stemmed from a push for change that transcended race.

“So long as he wants to polarise and racialise this phenomenon, then they themselves are guilty of a racist outlook and they are incapable of any national reconciliation,” Lim Kit Siang (right), who founded the DAP, told reporters on May 6, referring to Najib. 

“It’s not a Chinese tsunami; it’s a Malaysian tsunami.”

While Najib considers policies for a second term, the opposition’s future is also undetermined. Anwar, who disputes the results, will struggle to keep the Malay-dominated PAS in the opposition after it lost seats in the election, according to Bilveer Singh, a professor of political science at the National University of Singapore.

“(With Umno and the opposition DAP as the biggest winners,) this is a very potent mixture that could destroy the country - two dominant, racialised political parties that are on a head-on clash,” Singh said. 

“Nobody will win. The ground is electrified along racial lines.”

- Bloomberg

malaysiakini: PAS thanks Chinese for voting in Malay reps


PAS thanks Chinese for voting in Malay reps
malaysiakini  1:48PM May 8, 2013

 
PAS has expressed its gratitude toward Chinese voters who had voted for Malay Pakatan Rakyat candidates in the recently concluded general election, even if it meant having to vote against a fellow Chinese.
NONEPAS information chief Tuan Ibrahim Tuan Man (left) said that the action of such voters proved that the allegation by Umno that the Chinese has rejected the Malays is only slander.

“The Chinese voters were willing to vote for Malay candidates without any narrow racial sentiments, as claimed by Umno.

“There are tens of parliament and state assembly seats that were contested by Malay candidates against candidates from the Tiong Hua race (Chinese) in mixed constituencies, that were won by the Malay, proving that Chinese voters were willing to reject candidates of their own race,” Tuan Ibrahim said in a statement today.
He claimed this could be part of efforts by the mainstream media to create a smokescreen to hide possible cheating in the election and for PM Najib Abdul Razak to secure his position within Umno.
Umno, he said, must cease “playing with fire”, using the results of the 13th national polls to stoke the flames of the Chinese-versus-Malay sentiment, especially since such action is not based on actual facts.
More Malays in parliamant due to Pakatan wins
Meanwhile, in another statement, Pahang PAS information chief Suhaimu Md Saad explained that DAP’s big win in the polls did nothing to lessen the number of Malay representation in parliament.

He stated in fact, the success of Pakatan’s candidates only served to increase that number by seven.

He citing various examples in which Malay Pakatan parliamentary and state candidates from PKR, DAP and PAS were able to defeat BN challengers, including Chinese ones. Among the examples a given are:
  • NONERafizi Ramli (PKR, right) who won against Gary Lim (BN) inPandan;
  • Dr Siti Mariah Mahmud (PAS) who won against S Murugesan (BN) in Kota Raja;
  • Abdul Khalid Ibrahim (PKR) who won against Tan Kok Eng (BN) in Bandar Tun Razak;
  • Imran Hamid (PKR) who won against Kong Cho Ha (BN) inLumut;
  • Mohd Ariss Sabri Abdul Aziz (DAP) who won against Hoh Khai Mun (BN) in Raub;
  • Idris Ahmad (PKR) who won against K Parthiban (BN) in Ijok;
  • Tengku Zulpuri Shah Raja Puji (DAP) who won against Chuah Boon Seong (BN) in Mentakab;
  • Mohd Rashid Hasnon (PKR) who won against Wong Mun Hoe (BN) in Pantai Jerejak.
NONEAs to then why then was former Johor Menteri Besar Abdul Ghani Othman able to lose to DAP supremo Lim Kit Siang (left) inGelang Patah, Johor, Suhaimi said Ghani himself “looked for illness”, choosing to contest in a Chinese-majority seat within a constituency that used to be “owned” by MCA.

To further debunk Umno’s claim that non-Malays are against the Malays, Suhaimi further cited 13 examples of seats where non-Malay BN candidates won, despite having Malay-majority electorates.

Among the constituencies listes in his statement are - Simpang Renggam (57% Malays), Tanjung Piai(51%), Batu Sapi ( 51%), Gurun (57%) and Kahang (74%).

TMI: This is what the Chinese want ― by Dr Ong Hean Teik


This is what the Chinese want ― by Dr Ong Hean Teik

The Malaysian Insider: MAY 08, 2013

MAY 8 ― The Utusan Malaysia headline of May 7 posed an interesting and pertinent question of what more do the Chinese in Malaysia want. It is a pity that Utusan is unable to see that what the Chinese want is, in fact, what the educated urban Malaysian voter wants, regardless of race or religion. There are three important characteristics lacking in the Barisan of today.

Intelligent, courageous leadership

The Chinese comprise only 30 per cent of Malaysian voters, yet Pakatan Rakyat won 51 per cent of the total votes cast. By saying that the election result was because of the Chinese voters, the Barisan Nasional leadership demonstrates an inability to objectively face reality.

Barisan’s acceptance of Zulkifli Nordin as its direct Shah Alam candidate similarly shows a lack of intelligence and courage. Here is a lawyer who does not feel that dialogue and discussion can resolve matters, having forcefully disrupted a Law Society seminar. He has vowed loyalty to, and then turned on his previous political parties. He has publicly belittled an ancient religion with a million Malaysian followers.

Umno making way for Ibrahim Ali to contest the Pasir Mas constituency is similarly bad judgement, showing its acceptance and approval of a crude man who prides himself with using vulgar words in public interviews.

To give them such special honour and credit shows a lack of intelligent reasoning and an inability to stand up against the loud extremist faction of the party.

Attributing the election outcome to a “Chinese tsunami” is illogical in the face of concrete facts and data. PAS won an additional seven state seats in Selangor, all in Malay majority areas.

Lim Kit Siang could not have achieved a majority of over 14,000 votes in Gelang Patah without good support from Malays who form 35 per cent of the electorate there.

Similarly the Umno-backed Perkasa extremists were conclusively rejected in Pasir Mas (96 per cent Malay) and in Shah Alam where Malays make up 70 per cent of the electorate.

To blindly spin the 2013 election outcome to suit its raced-based founding philosophy of 1947shows up a political party that wants to be stubbornly unwise. Unless Umno’s leadership can find the courage to face facts, the party may become redundant and obsolete for the educated 21st century voter.

Respect and recognition of rights

Academic studies have consistently shown that increased income brings more happiness and satisfaction only up to a certain point. When a society progresses out of poverty into middle class, increasing income does not increase satisfaction proportionately. It is the psychological aspects of living that produces a better quality of life.

Whatever the radiation scientists claim, the people of Bentong (45 per cent Malay, 44 per cent Chinese) will ask why a factory run by an Australian company is unsuitable for Australia or Damansara Heights but can be located in their backyard.

In 2008, Health Minister Liow won Bentong by over 12,000 votes. This year he retained Bentong with less than 400 votes against a political novice who is a green activist. The urban electorate, Chinese or Malay, seeks respect and recognition of their right to a safe living environment.

In Penang, the 1 Malaysia Charity organisation hosted numerous concerts and dinners in support of Barisan candidates. At their functions, T-shirts, beer, hawker food and lucky draw gifts were given free.

Initially there was merriment and wonder at this new campaigning style; this then became anger and disgust when even cash incentives were handed out. The electorate felt they were treated with disrespect, as if their rights, dignity and vote were for sale.

Numerous development issues had plagued the Penang DAP government in the months leading up to the election, and the increased majority they subsequently obtained can only be explained by the strong rejection what the other side represents. Money cannot buy happiness, and similarly, the urban electorate set out to show that money cannot buy their vote in Penang.

The urban electorate in Malaysia is obviously better off economically compared to the rural dwellers. They have reached a stage when extra economic incentives can no longer easily win their approval.

Instead they asked for respect, and an acknowledgement of their right to an inclusive, peaceful existence in the country. They seek recognition as a legitimate electorate with the right to choose the governing party. Blaming and insulting them for voting against the Barisan will only guarantee the DAP and Pakatan a brighter future.

Competent efficient institutions

There is no doubt that relative to those who were once our equivalent, we Malaysians have fallen behind. The Singapore dollar which was equivalent to the ringgit in the 1970’s is today 2.5 times higher. Malaysia beat South Korea and Japan in the 1972 Olympic football qualifying rounds; today we are nowhere near these 2 World Cup Finals participating countries.

Universiti Malaya had topped the list of universities passing the United States medical qualifying examination in 1969, ahead of Melbourne and Singapore University. In 2011, Universiti Malaya was ranked 401 out of the 500 universities in the Shanghai Jiao Tong University’s Academic Ranking of World Universities.

The educated, smart-phone holding, internet-surfing, urban voter is aware of world-wide trends and wants to experience the best that life can offer. When the governing party is unable to develop the country to its full potential, its popularity will drop.

As demonstrated by the Noble prize winning Dr Ivan Pavlov, animals respond to incentives, and man is no exception. A system that promotes those who agree with and pamper those in power while sidelining those working hard to pursue competency will breed inefficient malfunctioning institutions. Even those not under their direct employment will be affected by these incompetent institutions.

When the police force is politicised and crime rate increases, more money will have to be spent on personal and household security. Even Datuk Nazir Razak admitted that he had hesitated coming back to Malaysia because of concerns about his children’s education. When the middle class spends on private education or healthcare, votes for the governing party will drop.

Conclusion

The Chinese now make up only 25 per cent of Malaysia’s population and to be named as the cause of major developments in the country is to be hurtful to this minority and insulting to the majority. On the other hand, government statistics show that Malaysia’s urban population has increased from 62 per cent in 2000 to 71 per cent in 2010.

No amount of rhetorical whitewashing can hide the fact that the poor performance of Barisan in the 2013 election is due to its failure to win the heart and mind of the urban voter. The faster it faces reality and move away from its obsolete race-based mindset, the better its prospects for the next electoral battle.

* Dr Ong Hean Teik is a consultant cardiologist in Penang. He reads The Malaysian Insider.

BARU BIAN's REFLECTION: POST PRU-13


BARU BIAN's REFLECTION: POST PRU-13

6th May 2013
Kuching

Dear Friends,

It was so difficult for me to get out of my bed this morning although I was already wide-awake, quite early in fact in spite of the late night vigil for the final outcome of PRU13. I am still trying to absorb the shocking outcome not only of Limbang Parliamentary seat but all the rural seats where PKR stood; where we lost all of them. The only seat PKR won in Sarawak is Miri (Dr. Michael Teo), which is an urban seat. I would have thought Baram and Saratok could have been won, at the very least. Nevertheless, God has kept us all safe, strong and healthy throughout the grueling campaign. The entire big Limbang team banded together and gave their best till the end. We prayed and we cried and journeyed together. May God’s name be glorified.

My human mind finds it hard to believe and accept this outcome because we had prepared the ground for about a year or so before the election. In comparison, this was the best preparation ever undertaken by an Opposition since I stood in Sarawak GE, 1991 under PBDS ticket. In the past, we were never as focused on seats or areas, and issues. In addition, at least to a reasonable degree, we had some financial support from all of you for us to organize our logistics. We had a Political Consultant that sat monthly with us to review our progress and preparation. 

All went very well, it seems at least from our perspective. Above all, we had the privilege of being prayed upon and prayed for by churches all over the nation and beyond who steadfastly stood together in oneness praying for God’s intervention in our Nation through PRU13, which coincides with our Jubilee Year Celebration. Yet we have not won a single seat in the rural area of Sarawak.  What happened? Who is at fault? What could have been done? Why did the people change last minute? What happened, God? Many questions popped up? The obvious reasons we all know.

My thoughts went back to months of preparation where expectation was high, where many of us believed that this must be The Time for all of us to start a New and Better Malaysia together. That expectation was not misplaced as it was fortified by the facts that every Malaysian from different parts of the country and even those overseas, of different race and religion, from different level of our society got united to make a final ditch to “make it happen” for ourselves and our children. Many of you who work and reside overseas chose to vote from abroad as postal voters while there are those who came and flew at their own expense to vote in Malaysia. 

Many months ago on my usual campaign trail, I met a shopkeeper in Limbang whose daughter lives in Beijing who told me that her daughter will come back to vote this time. I remember meeting an aunty in Limbang a week ago whose daughter works in Shanghai and a son who works in Singapore, both came back to vote in Limbang. I met two young men the sons of a well known bookstore owner in Limbang who were very proud to have met me; took a snap together and proudly said, they came to vote for a Change, “Ini Kali Lah!” 

I met a lady perhaps in her mid forties in Medamit who said that she has never voted in any GE before but this time came back to vote for PKR, hoping for a Change and better future for herself and her kids. I remember the conversation related to me of how two 9 years old kids whose mothers were helping us at our Medamit Operation Centre agreed after a ‘lively debate’ that both should vote for PKR! I met one of them the next day at the Centre and when asked; still agreed to vote for PKR. I recall the prayer drives around Limbang town together with some intercessors from some local churches in Limbang few months back and the final one on the eve of Polling Day for God’s intervention. 

Outwardly, the churches in Limbang and outside took time to wait before the Lord asking for the healing of our nation. The many trips and sharing I had with many of you as a group or individual or as a church where our spirit soared on high with faith to believe that God is going to answer our prayers for Malaysia. And yes, not forgetting the many prophetic utterances, dreams and visions for a spiritual transformation of our churches and society through this political process and our faith believing in their realisation. The euphoria climaxed on the final night; the eve of polling where thousands upon thousands of Malaysians all over the country showed their support for an alternative Government. And I can go on and on narrating one story after another, incidences after incidences of how hopeful we were that this must be the Time for Malaysia.

Yet when we all went in droves to the Polling Stations the outcome and results hours later did not come as we all expected. Many of us shed tears, in fact many mourned for our Nation. For me, I thought losing less than a thousand votes would be acceptable as our candidate in GE 2008 only lost by 676 votes. But not 8000+ votes! I was stunned. More shocked when finally not even one seat from the rural areas we contested won. My immediate thought was, “forget these ungrateful souls”. I felt I was betrayed, cheated and unappreciated when I had to move out of my Ba’Kelalan constituency trying to assist these natives to fight for their rights against political oppression and injustice. By about 9 pm on polling day I had a Press Conference at our party’s Media Centre, Kuching, with most of our candidates. 

From information received from these candidates, it is obvious that money politics is still very much alive and effective in the rural constituencies of Sarawak. I said to the Press, “recalling the biblical exodus, I believe “this generation” has to perish in the wilderness before the next generation ushers in the change we dream off”. Was I too harsh and condemning? What has happened to all our attempts through Radio Free Sarawak, longhouse visits, ceramahs, workshops on their land rights issues, to educate them on all these dirty tricks used by the other side; on money politics, threat to longhouse chiefs, deprivation of basic amenities, no scholarship, withdrawal of welfare & subsidies etc etc? I cannot comprehend! Will it be another 50 years? I don’t know. Only God can help us here. On another note, had we not prayed and interceded, I cannot imagine how far worse it might be.

As soon as the final results were announced sms and emails flooded in to encourage me, and perhaps others too. I say amen, to the fact that “God is sovereign over the nation in spite of the result that did not come, as we all wanted it”. Yes, “God is still God and let us be still before Him, He has the final say”. Yes, “look up to Jesus the author and perfector of our faith”. Yes, “everything works for the goods to all those who love Him…” But it doesn’t seem to jive with the situation I was in. Deep within me, I was saying, “God did not do His part of the bargain because all seems unreasonable, unacceptable and absolutely unjust”.

Then around noon today I read a short email from bro KJ John attaching therein a short note written by a Malaysian, entitled “I shed my tears too!” Thank you brother for the thought when you said that the said article “reflect only those with little political experience on the ground and those who consider that: “change is a revolution and not an evolution”. Then I began to realize that this is a struggle, a “perjuangan”, a political evolution that may takes some time. It may go even beyond my time and my generation. My wife’s immediate response, as a very practical Foochow, is ‘let’s hang up our socks and call it a day. Save the money (to feed the poor and hungry) and time. God would understand.’ Perhaps a reflection of her utter disappointment and disbelief of the outcome, like many of us. 

Nevertheless, she stuck it out with me and did her level best to assist me in every way possible. My youngest daughter’s (Emmylyn,17) response was, “for this reason I must consider going into politics!” My daughter and sons, and her generation, I believe are ready to fight on and takeover the baton from us, if need be. I was moved with confidence that our action had touched our children’s lives. My son Joshua who moved together with me for the whole two weeks campaigning period, just called from KL as I write this letter to ask how his dad is coping with the outcome in Limbang, as did my second son in Adelaide; he sms to say that he and the group of OCFers are mighty proud of me. I am touched. Many young people are very concerned of the state of affairs in our beloved country, came to vote and even volunteered as PACABA. FOS organised a team to Limbang, and I say, “thank you, Cynthia and gang”. I am sure their experiences in PRU13 will strengthen their resolve to continue this perjuangan.

This afternoon, brother Bob Teoh called, and encouraged me to see the positive aspects of the so-called “lost”: Firstly, the ghost of May 13 had finally been buried. Secondly, the issue of Hudud law has clearly been neutralized. Thirdly, the religious extremists like Ibrahim Ali and Zulkifli Nordin have been rejected by Malaysians. Fourthly, the issue of Sabah autonomy was rejected by the Sabahans and finally, the dual coalition system is here to stay. Then I received a sms from Pastor Patrick in Limbang who said that many of the Sunday school kids cried upon hearing the news that I lost Limbang. Then I realised, our Children Bible “Alkitab Kanak-Kanak” gifts must have touched these young lives and I believe many others in all the priority seats where PKR stood! Then I thought, “if this is the only gain I had contributed to Limbang lost, then my standing in Limbang was not in vain!”

Then, there are those 4,698 voters who voted for me in Limbang and the many others in the other constituencies where our candidates stood and voted for us too.  So there is evidence of stirring of sort but not enough to bring in the victory. I also recalled Baram, which we lost by a whisker of just 194 votes. The independent candidate got 300+ votes. Nationally, PR has gained 7 seats in Parliament from 82 in 2008 to 89 in this GE, in spite of a widely reported fraud throughout the country. In fact, Sarawak has gained 5 more parliamentary seats this GE. And finally, the increase in popular votes for Pakatan throughout the whole country surged to 51%. 

Close to 50,000 AKK and transistor radios were distributed far and wide in the interior of Sarawak, and through this mean our message for Change had impacted and touched some rural folks as shown in the increased of support in the rural seats. Many thanks to the Radio Free Sarawak (RFS) team. So friends, brothers and sisters, I finally come to accept the fact that change has come, but not to a level we all expected if not for the uneven playing field, the changing of goal posts and the corrupt and bias referee, the EC. Or perhaps as one of you responded, “Maybe God wants us to pray for five more years!”

But remember, Sarawak will have her State GE in 2016 or may be sooner. I urge you to continue to pray for Sarawak. I am very convinced now that the abject poverty of our natives’ folks placed them in a very vulnerable situation allowing money politics to remain supreme in GE. Rights, idealism and even spiritual principles take a back seat. In my area, Limbang for example, voters were paid RM20, RM30, RM100, RM150, and RM300 depending on the strength of support. Other constituencies were paid RM100 as first payment and RM500 can be claimed after winning the GE. This is not surprising as this had been the norm every GE. We did explain and emphasised the fact that this is not right and that it is not BN moneys etc., but to no avail. There is only one solution; spiritual inward renewal and economic empowerment. The church therefore must help to bring in a very strong teaching in this area of political responsibility and awareness.

In conclusion, I want to record my thanks and appreciation to all of you who stood with us (PR), my family and I, through this political episode and undertook to remain faithful to pray for us and support me in my future political endeavor. Many of you gave sacrificially to purchase the thousands of radios, petrol, PACABA training, operation centres, and for the logistics before and during the campaigning period of two weeks. I say on behalf of all my colleagues and party members and supporters in Sarawak; a BIG THANK YOU and may God bless you and your family in all your future undertakings. I must confess, it’s so tempting to surrender, to give up, to ‘throw in the towel’ as it were, but now I hear the voices of many of you who chose to walk this same road with me urging me to move on and not to lose heart but together we will carry on to realise our Malaysian Dream.

And now, O Lord I ask for your forgiveness for my lack of faith in your sovereignty and wisdom. I want to be still before you for you are still God over Malaysia and her people. Amen.

My friend Balang Sigar from Miri reminded me of one of our favorite songs from Bill Geither’s Homecoming collection, that God is still God in every circumstance:


GOD ON THE MOUNTAIN

Life is easy, when you’re on the mountain
And you’ve got peace of mind
Like you’ve never known
But things change, when you’re down in the valley
Don’t lose faith, for you’re never alone

        For the God on the mountain
        Is still God in the valley
        When things go wrong
        He’ll make them right
        And the God of the good times
        Is still God in the bad times
        The God of the day
        Is still God in the night

You talk of faith, when you’re up on the mountain
But talks come so easy, when life is at its best
Now it’s down in the valley, of trials and temptation
That’s where your faith is, really put to the test


Then I saw Aimee Liew’s sharing on whatsApp from an unknown author that warmed my heart, which gives me back my smile and a resolve to focus on the future. May this encourage you too, to carry on.

Today Malaysia woke up and many hearts were broken.
We mourn our nation not because we lost, but because we were cheated.

We lost not to a better party, but we lost to injustice.
We lost not to a better system, but we lost to the lack of integrity.
We lost not to a better count, but we lost to the failure in upholding civil rights.
We lost not to a better leader, but we lost to corruption.
We lost not to a better policy, but we lost to deceit.

But we will, and must not lose heart.

We may feel sad, but we must not give in to despair.
We may feel angry, but we must not lose our righteous ways.
We may feel cheated, but we must fight on.
We may feel like leaving, but we must stay together.
We may feel like giving up, but we must now let the dream carry us.
We may feel like nothing will change, but we must now become that change.

We will rally.
We will fight on.
We will not give up.
We will become a Better Malaysia.

Esther Ng eventually came in with an appropriate meditation from Psalm 30:5, “Your sadness may last for a night, but joy will come in the morning.” I pray that the night may not be too long.

May God’s favour be upon each one of you and your family members, without which this political journey could be a very lonely affair.

Let us all be the Agent of Change.

BARU BIAN
KUCHING

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

malaysiakini: Mathematically, it's not a Chinese tsunami.... by Dr Hsu Dar Ren


Mathematically, it's not a Chinese tsunami
 
Many people are disappointed with the results of GE13.

Even though Pakatan Rakyat won 51% of the popular votes, it has only 89 seats against 133 seats of BN.

This is of course because of the gerrymandering that gives rural seats much more say in determining which party would prevail in a general election.

Immediately after the election results were known, I wrote on my facebook:

"The results showed more of a urban-rural divide. Lim Kit Siang's margin showed that he won not only Chinese votes, but from other races as well. Tian Chua would not have won Batu, a mixed seats with Malay majority, without Malay support... 

To prove my point and that PM's assertion about a Chinese tsunami is wrong, we should resort to scientific methods, and do this mathematically."

There are 13.3 million voters for GE13, out of which 29.68% or 3.94 million are Chinese Malaysian voters.

Assuming the turnout of the Chinese voters are the same as the general population which is 80%, the number of Chinese casting votes would be 3.15 million.

Assuming that 90% of the Chinese voted for Pakatan (this is actually improbable), that would be 2.83 million votes.

But Pakatan received more than 5.62 millions votes, which means that even if 90% of the Chinese voted for Pakatan, they comprise of only 50% of the support that Pakatan receives.

At a more realistic 80% Chinese support for the Opposition, Pakatan would get 2.5 million votes from the Chinese ethnic group only.

The fact that it received more than 5.62 million total votes means that more than 3.1 millions votes were from non-Chinese Malaysians.

The tsunami against BN is more an urban tsunami than putting the blame on any particular ethnic group.

This is clearly reflected that in two of the most urbanised states, Selangor and Penang, BN lost more ground than before.

If not for Sabah and Sarawak, and to a lesser extent Johor and the gerrymandering, BN would have lost this GE13.

Global Voices: Malaysia: Outrage Over Election Outcome.... by Teresa Houghton


Malaysia: Outrage Over Election Outcome

Malaysians from all walks of life are currently in a state of outrage following the outcome of the nation's 13th General Election, which has been marred with what appears to be widespread and massive electoral fraud and gerrymandering. Many social media users are blacking out their Facebook and Twitter avatars and walking silently in malls dressed in black to protest what is being described as the ‘death of democracy’ in Malaysia. Both the opposition coalition, Pakatan Rakyat (PR/'The People's Pact'), and Bersih (‘Clean'), the national movement for free and fair elections, are refusing to accept the official result, which has resulted inBarisan Nasional (BN/'The National Front'), the coalition which has governed the country for 56 years, being sworn into power for their 13th term running.
Despite gaining 53.5% of the popular vote in an election which saw over 84% voter turnout (the highest in Malaysia's history), PR only managed to secure 89 of 222 parliamentary seats, with BN taking 133 seats (with only 46.5% of the popular vote) to form the government.
The image below, which is being shared widely on Facebook, highlights the alleged offenses:
An image being shared amongst Malaysian Facebookers outlining the various acts of electoral fraud
An image being shared amongst Malaysian Facebookers outlining the various acts of electoral fraud
Beyond the structural issues above, and other factors such as BN's political-economic control of Malaysia's offline media, the ‘indelible ink’ used to mark voters’ fingers was able to be cleaned off with very little effort, and was applied prior to marking the ballot paper, likely contributing to the huge numbers of ‘spoilt’ or rejected votes.
Malaysian citizens around Kuala Lumpur reported numerous instances of foreigners with suspect ID Kads trying to vote, with some coming back and trying to vote with up to four different ID Kads despite being chased away, with evidence leaked by the Sarawak Report linking the Prime Minister's Office to planeloads of suspect voters flown in to Selangor from East Malaysia.
As votes were being tallied on the evening of the 5th, scuffles ensued in Bangsar, one of the suburbs encompassed by the hotly-contested Lembah Pantai seat, as citizens supporting Calon(candidate) Nurul Izzah Anwar, daughter of the the much-persecuted opposition leader, Anwar Ibrahim, fought to prevent vehicles trying to take suspect ballot boxes into the tallying station. They were threatened with tear-gas by the Federal Reserve Unit who were called in to intervene, but were successful in not allowing the ballot boxes, which were marked with another electorate's ID code, into the tallying station. The following image is one of many circulating on Facebook documenting the incident:
"Ballot boxes marked 120 found in EC car boot trying to enter 121 Lembah Pantai polling station. Blocked by public. Welcome to Malaysia elections."
“Ballot boxes marked 120 found in EC car boot trying to enter 121 Lembah Pantai polling station. Blocked by public. Welcome to Malaysia elections.”
From roughly 8.30pm to after midnight, results are alleged to have been held back by recounts demanded by the government following opposition victories in various electorates. This period saw the occurrence of several electricity blackouts around the country, following which, vote recounts revealed that government candidates had in fact won the seats. It is alleged that extra votes were smuggled in under the cover of the temporary darkness, with the phrase ‘Magic Blackout’ being used by many disbelieving and angry Malaysians. One polling agent recounts the eveninghere:
Yesterday, by adding up all the ‘scores’ – it seemed like PR has won, and won big. But no announcements were made. At the EC's main counting centres, recounts were requested on seats that BN lost in (even after all the different saluran had already confirmed the count), blackouts happened, mystery boxes appear – and then suddenly – BN candidates are winning. And then and only then, The EC comes out with official result statements: BN has won this seat, BN has won this other seat. Too dodgy.
PoliTweet, an organisation mapping political social networking activity in Malaysia, logged the surge of tweets/minute containing the word ‘blackout’ during this period:
"Election-related Tweets-per-minute with keyword 'blackout' during election night, May 5th 2013. Highest peak was 210 tweets at 1.01 AM on election night. But mentions of blackouts started as early as 8.48 PM."
“Election-related Tweets-per-minute with keyword ‘blackout’ during election night, May 5th 2013.
Highest peak was 210 tweets at 1.01 AM on election night. But mentions of blackouts started as early as 8.48 PM.”
The threshold of 112 seats to form the governments was finally officially announced as having been met by BN at approximately 1.05am 6th May, with Twitter and Facebook exploding as people grappled with the news following the long information blackout. Caretaker/Returned Prime Minister Najib Razak announced his party's success on national television shortly after and stating that the swing towards the opposition was due to a ‘Chinese Tsunami’ – a rising swell of support for the opposition from ethnically Chinese Malaysians, who have been disenfranchised by BN's New Economic Policy, an affirmative action policy instantiated in the 1970s which grants special privileges to ethnic Malays (known as Bumiputras, or ‘princes of the soil'), and its descendent, theNational Development Policy. His statements have been much criticised, with many countering that the ‘tsunami’ is more accurately described as coming from the Malaysian multi-ethnic urban/middle-class, who increasingly reject BN's race-based policies, and who view the party as arrogant and corrupt.

There is widespread uncertainty in Malaysia over what the next few weeks will bring, as there is a period of 21 days in which the results may be contested. Bersih and PR are vowing to continue to demand accountability from BN and the Election Commission, with PR's Anwar Ibrahim calling for Malaysians to “join hands and express our rejection and disgust at the unprecedented electoral frauds committed by Najib and the EC”. He has announced a rally on the evening of May 8th, when he will address Malaysians for the first time since the polls. A Change.org petition calling for international intervention has already garnered 180,000 signatures, and continues to swell.
Many citizens are still in a state of shock, but with a simmering undercurrent of outrage not likely to dissipate any time soon, and with over half the population feeling a clear sense of being cheated of both their democratic rights as citizens and of the government they wanted, Malaysia faces a real crisis of governmental legitimacy.